1 day ago · An updating average of 2020 presidential general election polls, accounting for each poll’s quality, sample size and recency

2 days ago · Who’s ahead in the national polls? An updating average, accounting for each poll's recency, sample size, methodology and house effects.

1 day ago · Who’s ahead in the national polls? Updating average for each candidate in 2024 presidential polls, accounting for each poll's recency, sample size, methodology and house …

2 days ago · Updating average for each candidate in 2024 presidential polls, accounting for each poll's recency, sample size, methodology and house effects.

Nov 5, 2024 · 538 uses polling, economic and demographic data to explore likely election outcomes. Harris wins 50 times out of 100 in our simulations of the 2024 presidential election.

2 days ago · When the dates of tracking polls from the same pollster overlap, only the most recent version is shown. In 2023, we made changes to the way we calculated our favorability, …

3 days ago · An updating average, accounting for each poll's recency, sample size, methodology and house effects.

Sep 12, 2024 · 538’s pollster ratings are calculated by analyzing the historical accuracy and methodological transparency of each polling organization’s polls. We define accuracy as the …

2 days ago · When the dates of tracking polls from the same pollster overlap, only the most recent version is shown. In 2023, we made changes to the way we calculated our favorability, …

Jan 10, 2023 · Who’s ahead in the national polls? An updating average of 2020 presidential general election polls, accounting for each poll’s quality, sample size and recency